CoE 197U Scaling

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Moore's Law

In 1965, Gordon Moore published a 4-page paper entitled "Cramming more components onto integrated circuits"[1], where he predicted that the number of components in an integrated circuit will increase by a factor of two every year, as shown in Fig. 1. Note that he based his extrapolation on just 4 data points!

Figure 1: Gordon Moore's 1965 prediction[1].

Evolution of Complexity

Transistor Count

Frequency

Power Dissipation

Challenges in Digital Design

Why Scale?

The Cost of Integrated Circuits

Non-Recurrent Engineering Costs

Recurrent Costs

Yield

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 Gordon E Moore, Cramming more components onto integrated circuits, Electronics, Volume 38, Number 8, April 19, 1965 (pdf)